Consultancy home page

Welcome to my consultancy pages.

Since 2012, I have fully retired from my academic job at the University of Sheffield. I have always been active in consultancy, and retirement allows me to spend a little more time on consulting work.

My expertise lies in the methodology and applications of Bayesian statistics.

I have particular expertise as a consultant in a variety of topics, including:

• Elicitation. Eliciting expert knowledge about uncertain quantities, as a primary input to decision making.
• Asset management planning. Estimation of investment need based on combining limited sample data with expert knowledge.
• Health economics. Cost-effectiveness analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis, elicitation of expert beliefs, estimation of health-related utility measures.
• Design of drug development programmes. Bayesian design of individual trials, Bayesian clinical trial simulation, modelling and elicitation of expert knowledge, decision-support for drug development.
• Assessment of safety mechanisms in nuclear reactors. I have worked over a number of years on a rather specialised problem concerning CANDU reactors.

In all of the above topics, and many others, my methods are backed by numerous peer-reviewed articles in major journals. If you would like information about these, please contact me or browse my academic pages, using the "Academic" button below.

I do not simply apply off-the-shelf methods. Every consulting job is a challenge and many have led to the development of new methods that have been published and become the state of the art. As a consultant, I offer not just standard methods, not just innovative methods that I have developed myself, but my skills in tackling each new problem on its own merits, in order to solve it as completely and appropriately as possible.